HELLO OSCAR NOMS!!

Oscar Nominations Day Today!!!
So these are my wishlists-cum-predictions. They are only for the Big 5, or well Big 6 as there are two types of Screenplays PLUS the Supporting Categories. The others I know my selected winners and I am not familiar with everyone's work, so all that will be decided and posted after the nominations, before the awards. Duh.


Best Picture


Mine: 1) The Social Network


2) Black Swan


3) Inception


4) Toy Story 3


5) I Am Love


6) The King’s Speech


7) True Grit


8) Blue Valentine


9) The Fighter


10) The Ghost Writer


Theirs: Inception and Toy Story are shaky and The Ghost Writer would be a surprise. Instead, they would probably choose films like Rabbit Hole, Animal Kingdom and Winter’s Bone.


Winner- If statistics and worth mean anything, it should go to The Social Network, but AMPAs may do a Crash on it and Black Swan or The King’s Speech may win.


Best Director


Mine: 1) David Fincher for The Social Network


2) Darren Aronfsky for Black Swan


3) Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech


4) The Coen Brothers for True Grit


5) Roman Polanski for The Ghost Writer


Theirs: I doubt Polanski’s position. It will probably be David O’ Russel for The Fighter or Lisa Cholodenko for The Kids Are All Right.


Winner- This has to be Fincher’s year. For all that he has done for me. Aronofsky has his eye on the gold though.



Best Actor in a Leading Role


Mine: 1) Colin Firth in The King’s Speech


2) James Franco in 127 Hours


3) Jesse Eisenberg in The Social Network


4) Christian Bale in The Fighter


5) Jim Carrey in I Love You Phillip Morris


Theirs: They are going to replace Jim Carrey with Ryan Gosling in Blue Valentine and put Mark Wahlberg in place of Bale, who was a co-lead, but jury members are stupid like that. Eisenberg may also be replaced by Jeff Bridges for True Grit, though that again was a supporting role at the most.


Winner: King Colin has this in the bag essentially. I would still love a surprise win from Eisenberg or Franco.



Best Actress in a Leading Role


Mine: 1) Natalie Portman for Black Swan


2) Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right


3) Tilda Swinton for I Am Love


4) Jennifer Lawrence for Winter’s Bone


5) Emma Stone for Easy A


Theirs: Tilda and Emma are not certain, especially Emma because of the “low Oscar appeal” of the film. They will put Julianne Moore for The Kids Are All Right, Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole, Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine and maybe even Hailee Steinfeld for True Grit (as she was the lead).


Winner- This is clearly a new versus old, drama versus comedy, goddess versus angel category. That means it will be either Bening or Portman, though I think Portman will bag the Oscar,


Best Original Screenplay


Mine: 1) Christopher Nolan for Inception


2) Mark Heyman, Andres Heinz and John McLaughlin for Black Swan


3) Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton & Lee Unkrich for Toy Story 3


4) Sofia Coppola for Somewhere


5) Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg for The Kids Are All Right


Theirs: I don’t know who they’ll replace, but Blue Valentine and Animal Kingdom are strong contenders. Sofia Coppola will be replaced by Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson for The Fighter


Winner: I really think it should go to Inception, but Black Swan or The Kids Are All Right may be a surprise.



Best Adapted Screenplay


Mine: 1) Aaron Sorkin for The Social Network


2) Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy for 127 Hours


3) Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini for The Winter’s Bone


4) Roman Polanski and Robert Harris for The Ghost Writer


5) Edgar Wright and Michael Bacall for Scott Pilgrim vs The World


Theirs: The last two are highly doubtful to get any love from the AMPAs and the 127 Hours team is on shaky grounds too. The Coen Brothers will probably be nominated for True Grit along with David Lindsay-Abaire for Rabbit Hole.


Winner: Aaron Sorkin has to win for what he did with Accidental Billionaires and how he turned it into the absolutely wonderful Social Network.


Best Actor in a Supporting Role


Mine: 1) Geoffrey Rush in The King’s Speech


2) Jeremy Renner in The Town


3) Andrew Garfield in The Social Netwok


4) Mark Ruffalo in The Kids Are All Right


5) Jeff Bridges in True Grit


Theirs: AMPAs will probably put Christian Bale here. Also Pierce Brosnan from The Ghost Writer would be a good surprise. Andrew G. and Mark Ruffalo have a relatively shaky position.


Winner: In my list- Geoffrey Rush, though Andrew G. winning would be a spectacular thing to watch. A list with Bale will have Bale taking the Oscar home in his Bat Mobile.



Best Actress in a Supporting Role:


Mine: 1) Barbara Hershey for Black Swan


2) Amy Adams for The Fighter


3) Melissa Leo for The Fighter


4) Olivia Williams for The Ghost Writer


5) Elle Fanning for Somewhere


Theirs: Mila Kunis can come for Black Swan and they’ll probably put Hailee Steinfeld here along with Helena Bonham Carter for The King’s Speech. Imagine if Rooney Mara for Social Network lands here.


Winner: I thought that Barbara Hershey was a much more unforgettable and dysfunctional mother than Melissa Leo this year. I hope the AMPAs do too.


 
Let's see how it goes. And fingers crossed o'course.